How Does Inflation Affect The Economy?
The 2020s is a tumultuous decade when we must face numerous challenges. It’s no secret that inflation (consistently growing prices) make our lives very difficult. Make no mistake; livelihoods are at stake. You may count yourself among the many affected by inflation. Let’s explore how the financial situation changed for the worse and inflation affected our economy!
Understanding inflation on a domestic and international level
Substantial inflationary tendencies impacted not only the US. The global economy sustained economic injuries as well. We must understand that what happened is nothing out of the ordinary regarding economic cycles. Inflation is still bearable unless the greater evil, i.e., recession, follows it. To address the elephant in the room, we’re not in a recession. But we can’t put our worries to rest either!
How the Covid-19 pandemic stopped the economy and boosted inflation worldwide.
The US economy prospered before 2019. Product and service prices and interest rates were low. Everybody could afford to buy items and invest in homes, as borrowing money was cheap. Then came the Covid-19 pandemic, and everything changed for good.
The economy worldwide came to a screeching halt. To stop the virus, general lockdowns were implemented. Production was stopped. Then, a considerable part of the active American workforce was laid off, and many US regions struggled for survival. The situation spiraled out of control, and we had a two-month mini-recession on our heads in 2020.
At first, the Fed’s monetary policy and stimulus helped.
The US government brought various measures to fight the recession and incentivize investments, thus, the economy. First, they printed new money. Second, they lowered the interest and mortgage rates. Therefore, borrowing money from banks became more accessible even for low-income people with otherwise bad credit records. (What happens when these borrowers can’t afford to repay the loans due to high inflation?)
Unsurprisingly, the housing market thrived in many American cities. For instance, the Jacksonville housing market during the pandemic was rolling.
The first signs of distress showed.
Consumerism was experiencing its heyday for a while, but it didn’t last long. We shouldn’t forget that manufacturing goods and numerous sectors, such as healthcare, tourism, airlines, restaurants, and food service took a heavy blow during the pandemic. In other words, the supply of products and services was insufficient to satisfy the demand.
Simultaneously, the money supply kept on growing. Much money was chasing a few goods. Logically, manufacturers, producers, retailers, and individual asset sellers would raise prices. And regularly, and at the beginning, they obtained what they were looking for.
Explore how the US real estate market changed for the worse!
The seller’s market became prevalent in many cities. How did this happen? For starters, homebuyers could get an affordable mortgage loan (for example, a government loan) for a more spacious home outside major metropolitan areas. Sellers could ask for a higher price as the demand increased and the supply shrank. Often, only those buyers who had the proper resources stood a chance. This means they could pay for a property in cash upfront.
Real estate prices escalated even more as the US market experienced a housing shortage crisis. The perfect worst storm has gathered as the Russian-Ukrainian war worsened inflation. Due to the Covid lockdown, limitations in production were registered globally. Economies struggled with rising prices and material, food, and fuel shortages.
It’s all about the interest rates!
To ease the impact of inflation, the Federal Reserve decided to raise the interest rates gradually. One of the adverse consequences was that fewer people would take on loans. The number of home purchases and investments has dropped considerably since July 2022.
Many analysts believed rising interest rates meant a deadly blow to the US housing market. On the bright side, the USD strengthened internationally, offering a more stable investment currency.
By all means, inflation influenced everyday people as their money supplies’ purchasing power nosedived. The way out of this tricky situation is to make intelligent inflation-proof investments, like stocks, real estate, REITs, and government-issued bonds.
In conclusion
Unfortunately, inflation is a lingering problem. According to the most optimistic predictions, the global economy can recover to a satisfying degree by 2025. Until then, we must endure inflation, fluctuating prices, high product costs, and increased household expenses.
Though investments sound risky and unappealing (especially at such high-interest rates), they constitute the best solution for countries and citizens to eliminate inflation and keep recession at bay.
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